Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 6.809971 7.926340 9.132091 10.526801 12.091082 13.786845 15.759472
2026-01-18 5.060954 6.493676 8.161934 10.231190 12.711017 15.568939 19.091966
2026-01-25 4.018446 5.571369 7.489029 9.997289 13.154304 16.957043 21.840723
2026-02-01 3.265716 4.850206 6.910144 9.729720 13.427451 18.046304 24.177775
2026-02-08 2.702377 4.277717 6.424423 9.484903 13.646420 19.010778 26.336160
2026-02-15 2.238100 3.767906 5.948314 9.177758 13.717905 19.740063 28.175076
2026-02-22 1.968593 3.500160 5.770661 9.245938 14.271944 21.100236 30.867767
2026-03-01 1.734948 3.252554 5.588923 9.277907 14.755729 22.364217 33.459148
2026-03-08 1.546878 3.050724 5.450147 9.350179 15.284076 23.693963 36.172772
2026-03-15 1.371928 2.846000 5.282390 9.355961 15.700837 24.867794 38.695696
2026-03-22 1.268524 2.751615 5.279704 9.610935 16.493511 26.600575 42.059032
2026-03-29 1.166387 2.645390 5.244645 9.805272 17.194226 28.216037 45.297813
2026-04-05 1.046950 2.492739 5.118739 9.845021 17.660789 29.512049 48.133846
2026-04-12 0.894156 2.252218 4.813777 9.558630 17.586932 29.983937 49.760824
2026-04-19 0.770964 2.052720 4.560919 9.337151 17.596410 30.570479 51.563597
2026-04-26 0.660499 1.862255 4.303775 9.084148 17.531620 31.027646 53.171068
2026-05-03 0.567132 1.694043 4.070623 8.852728 17.483109 31.497955 54.800863
2026-05-10 0.480500 1.525804 3.818097 8.562480 17.310853 31.753722 56.092205
2026-05-17 0.436184 1.454226 3.756433 8.626901 17.757657 33.023169 59.011208
2026-05-24 0.393711 1.379930 3.680902 8.657109 18.141206 34.196725 61.805248
2026-05-31 0.358490 1.318824 3.627425 8.725404 18.593399 35.494912 64.830644
2026-06-07 0.322499 1.248797 3.546382 8.730868 18.927452 36.601165 67.569617
2026-06-14 0.304947 1.229526 3.579588 8.971855 19.707604 38.486024 71.628514